Ijraset Journal For Research in Applied Science and Engineering Technology
Authors: Dr Shyamsunder S Singh, Priyal Dave, Priya Singh, Ashutosh Tiwari, Rohit Bhimra
DOI Link: https://doi.org/10.22214/ijraset.2024.59890
Certificate: View Certificate
This research paper aims to investigate the use of derivatives in managing financial risks, with a special focus on the infrastructure sector. The study analyzes the positions taken by buyers in future and option contracts to mitigate risk exposure. The research period spans 28 days and focuses on three prominent companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE): Larsen & Toubro Ltd, JSW Steel Ltd, and JMR Airports Infrastructure Ltd. The paper examines the profit and loss outcomes of derivative positions and evaluates their effectiveness in managing financial risks in the infrastructure sector.
I. INTRODUCTION
The infrastructure sector stands as a cornerstone of economic progress, facilitating vital functions such as transportation, energy distribution, and telecommunications. Its significance cannot be overstated, as it underpins the foundation upon which economies thrive and societies prosper. However, alongside its pivotal role in driving growth and development, the infrastructure sector is inherently susceptible to a myriad of financial risks.
Financial risks within the infrastructure sector arise from diverse sources, ranging from market volatility and interest rate fluctuations to currency risks and regulatory uncertainties. These risks pose formidable challenges to companies operating within the sector, potentially impacting their profitability, liquidity, and overall financial health. In response to such challenges, firms in the infrastructure sector seek effective risk management strategies to safeguard their interests and ensure long-term sustainability.
Derivatives emerge as a vital tool in the arsenal of risk management strategies available to companies within the infrastructure sector. Derivative instruments, including futures and options contracts, offer unique opportunities to hedge against adverse price movements, thereby mitigating financial risks and enhancing stability. By leveraging derivatives, companies can effectively manage their exposure to market fluctuations, interest rate changes, and other external factors that may impact their financial performance.
While the use of derivatives for risk management is well-established across various industries, there exists a notable gap in research concerning its specific application within the infrastructure sector. This research seeks to address this gap by exploring the utilization of derivatives to manage financial risks in the infrastructure sector, with a particular focus on futures and options contracts.
Through an in-depth analysis of derivatives trading activity on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) over a defined period, this study aims to shed light on the effectiveness of derivative instruments in mitigating financial risks within the infrastructure sector. By examining the positions of buyers for futures and options contracts related to key companies such as Larsen & Toubro Ltd, JSW Steel Ltd, and JMR Airports Infrastructure Ltd, this research endeavors to provide valuable insights into the role of derivatives in enhancing financial stability and resilience within the sector.
By elucidating the relationship between derivatives usage and risk management practices within the infrastructure sector, this study seeks to contribute to the existing body of knowledge on financial risk management. Ultimately, the findings of this research endeavor to inform strategic decision-making processes and assist companies operating in the infrastructure sector in navigating the complex landscape of financial risks effectively.
II. LITERATURE REVIEW
The literature on financial risk management and the use of derivatives spans a wide array of industries and contexts, providing valuable insights into the theory, practice, and implications of derivative usage. While significant research exists on the application of derivatives in sectors such as finance, agriculture, and manufacturing, there is a noticeable dearth of studies focusing specifically on the infrastructure sector. Nevertheless, several key themes and findings from existing literature can inform our understanding of derivatives' role in managing financial risks within this sector.
III. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The research methodology employed in this study is designed to provide a systematic and rigorous analysis of the use of derivatives to manage financial risks within the infrastructure sector. The methodology encompasses several key components, including data collection, analysis, and interpretation, aimed at achieving the research objectives effectively.
IV. OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
V. RESULTS
DATE |
MARKET PRICE |
FUTURE PRICE |
29 DEC. 2023 |
3526.00 |
3588.41 |
01 JAN. 2024 |
3525.45 |
3520.16 |
02 JAN. 2024 |
3438.10 |
2842.27 |
03 JAN. 2024 |
3440.35 |
3458.58 |
04 JAN. 2024 |
3458.70 |
3601.89 |
05 JAN. 2024 |
3521.90 |
4052.29 |
08 JAN. 2024 |
3501.10 |
3346.35 |
09 JAN. 2024 |
3555.95 |
4010.75 |
10 JAN. 2024 |
3545.50 |
3467.49 |
11 JAN. 2024 |
3504.85 |
3208.69 |
12 JAN. 2024 |
3568.80 |
4102.69 |
15 JAN. 2024 |
3543.05 |
3352.43 |
16 JAN. 2024 |
3573.50 |
3816.85 |
17 JAN. 2024 |
3570.95 |
3552.00 |
18 JAN. 2024 |
3596.00 |
3793.78 |
19 JAN. 2024 |
3646.00 |
4055.81 |
20 JAN. 2024 |
3634.50 |
3546.18 |
23 JAN. 2024 |
3551.00 |
2976.44 |
24 JAN. 2024 |
3589.20 |
3898.94 |
25 JAN. 2024 |
3593.45 |
3626.50 |
Table 1: Market price and Future price of L&T Ltd.
The objective of this analysis is to evaluate the profit/loss position of futures and options. This analysis is based on sample data taken of LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD scrip. This analysis considered the JANUARY contract of L&T. The lot size is 300 and the time period in which this analysis is done is from 29.12.2023 to 25.01.2024.
Observations:
If a person buys 1 lot i.e. 300 futures of L&T on 29th Dec. 2023 and sells on 25th Jan 2024 then he will get a profit/loss of 3626.50 - 3588.41= 38.09 per share. So he will get a Total Profit of 11427 i.e. 38.09*300. The closing price of L&T at the end of the contract period is 3626.50 and this is considered as settlement price.
DATE |
MARKET PRICE (Rs.) |
STRIKE PRICE (Rs.) |
|
|
|||
3480 |
3500 |
3520 |
3540 |
3560 |
3580 |
||
29 DEC. 2024 |
3526.00 |
161.94 |
150.75 |
140.08 |
129.11 |
120.26 |
111.10 |
01 JAN. 2024 |
3525.45 |
153.42 |
142.21 |
131.53 |
121.40 |
111.80 |
102.74 |
02 JAN. 2024 |
3438.10 |
102.52 |
93.72 |
85.47 |
77.76 |
70.57 |
63.89 |
03 JAN. 2024 |
3440.35 |
100.84 |
92.01 |
83.75 |
76.03 |
68.85 |
62.18 |
04 JAN. 2024 |
3458.70 |
107.20 |
97.88 |
89.13 |
80.94 |
73.32 |
66.24 |
05 JAN. 2024 |
3521.90 |
139.70 |
128.51 |
117.92 |
107.92 |
98.50 |
89.67 |
08 JAN. 2024 |
3501.10 |
118.09 |
107.51 |
97.57 |
88.27 |
79.60 |
71.55 |
09 JAN. 2024 |
3555.95 |
148.82 |
136.47 |
124.75 |
113.68 |
103.27 |
93.50 |
10 JAN. 2024 |
3545.50 |
138.71 |
126.63 |
115.22 |
104.48 |
94.41 |
85.02 |
11 JAN. 2024 |
3504.85 |
110.28 |
99.55 |
89.52 |
80.19 |
71.55 |
63.60 |
12 JAN. 2024 |
3568.80 |
147.55 |
134.56 |
122.27 |
110.67 |
99.79 |
89.63 |
15 JAN. 2024 |
3543.05 |
119.27 |
106.94 |
95.41 |
84.69 |
74.79 |
65.70 |
16 JAN. 2024 |
3573.50 |
136.41 |
122.79 |
109.96 |
97.94 |
86.77 |
76.44 |
17 JAN. 2024 |
3570.95 |
130.67 |
116.98 |
104.13 |
92.14 |
81.03 |
70.81 |
18 JAN. 2024 |
3596.00 |
145.56 |
130.68 |
116.61 |
103.41 |
91.10 |
79.71 |
19 JAN. 2024 |
3646.00 |
183.29 |
166.41 |
150.20 |
134.71 |
120.03 |
106.22 |
20 JAN. 2024 |
3634.50 |
169.96 |
153.07 |
136.91 |
121.54 |
107.06 |
93.54 |
23 JAN. 2024 |
3551.00 |
87.55 |
72.94 |
59.71 |
47.98 |
37.79 |
29.16 |
24 JAN. 2024 |
3589.20 |
114.57 |
96.88 |
80.26 |
64.99 |
51.32 |
39.43 |
25 JAN. 2024 |
3593.45 |
114.97 |
95.76 |
77.33 |
60.16 |
44.77 |
31.66 |
Table 2:Market price and premium calls at the various strike price of L&T Ltd.
Observations for Call Option:
a) Buyer’s Pay-off
• Those “who have purchased the call option at a strike price of Rs.3520, the premium payable is Rs.140.08.”
• On “the expiry date, the spot market price closed at Rs.3593.45.
• Profit / Loss = (Spot price – Strike price) – Premium
= (3593.45 – 3520) – 140.08
=(-66.63)
DATE |
MARKET PRICE (Rs.) |
STRIKE PRICE (Rs.) |
|
|
|||
3480 |
3500 |
3520 |
3540 |
3560 |
3580 |
||
29 DEC. 2024 |
3526.00 |
89.35 |
98.01 |
107.18 |
116.86 |
127.06 |
137.75 |
01 JAN. 2024 |
3525.45 |
84.22 |
92.87 |
102.05 |
111.78 |
122.05 |
132.86 |
02 JAN. 2024 |
3438.10 |
121.61 |
132.68 |
144.30 |
156.46 |
169.14 |
182.33 |
03 JAN. 2024 |
3440.35 |
118.63 |
129.68 |
141.29 |
153.44 |
166.13 |
179.34 |
04 JAN. 2024 |
3458.70 |
107.59 |
118.14 |
129.27 |
140.97 |
153.23 |
166.02 |
05 JAN. 2024 |
3521.90 |
77.83 |
86.53 |
95.82 |
105.71 |
116.18 |
127.24 |
08 JAN. 2024 |
3501.10 |
79.87 |
89.19 |
99.15 |
109.75 |
120.98 |
132.84 |
09 JAN. 2024 |
3555.95 |
56.70 |
64.25 |
72.45 |
81.28 |
90.77 |
100.92 |
10 JAN. 2024 |
3545.50 |
57.99 |
65.82 |
74.32 |
83.49 |
93.34 |
103.86 |
11 JAN. 2024 |
3504.85 |
71.16 |
80.35 |
90.23 |
100.82 |
112.10 |
124.07 |
12 JAN. 2024 |
3568.80 |
45.43 |
52.37 |
59.99 |
68.32 |
77.37 |
87.13 |
15 JAN. 2024 |
3543.05 |
45.75 |
53.36 |
61.77 |
70.99 |
81.03 |
91.87 |
16 JAN. 2024 |
3573.50 |
33.39 |
39.71 |
46.83 |
54.76 |
63.53 |
73.15 |
17 JAN. 2024 |
3570.95 |
31.15 |
37.41 |
44.51 |
52.47 |
61.31 |
71.05 |
18 JAN. 2024 |
3596.00 |
21.94 |
27.02 |
32.91 |
39.66 |
47.30 |
55.87 |
19 JAN. 2024 |
3646.00 |
10.62 |
13.71 |
17.45 |
21.93 |
27.21 |
33.37 |
20 JAN. 2024 |
3634.50 |
9.74 |
12.82 |
16.62 |
21.23 |
26.72 |
33.16 |
23 JAN. 2024 |
3551.00 |
13.69 |
19.06 |
25.82 |
34.07 |
43.87 |
55.22 |
24 JAN. 2024 |
3589.20 |
3.47 |
5.76 |
9.13 |
13.85 |
20.17 |
28.27 |
25 JAN. 2024 |
3593.45 |
0.57 |
1.35 |
2.92 |
5.74 |
10.34 |
17.23 |
VI. FINDINGS
Based on the findings of the study, several recommendations and suggestions can be proposed to enhance the effectiveness of derivative usage and risk management practices within the infrastructure sector:
In conclusion, the research contributes to a deeper understanding of the role of derivatives in managing financial risks within the infrastructure sector. By providing empirical evidence, insights, and recommendations, the study offers valuable guidance for companies, investors, regulators, and other stakeholders seeking to navigate the complex landscape of financial risks effectively. Moving forward, further research and collaboration are warranted to advance our understanding of derivative usage and risk management practices within the infrastructure sector and promote financial stability and resilience in this critical domain of economic activity.
[1] Bodnar, G., & Hayt, G. (2002). The Future of Energy Derivatives. Journal of Derivatives, 9(4), 22-33. [2] Chance, D., & Brooks, R. (2015). An Introduction to Derivatives and Risk Management (10th ed.). Cengage Learning. [3] Chincarini, L., & Kim, D. (2016). Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management: An Active Approach to Portfolio Construction and Management (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education. [4] Culp, C. L., & Miller, M. (2018). Corporate Hedging in Theory and Practice: Lessons from Metallgesellschaft. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 30(1), 34-47. [5] Hull, J. C. (2018). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives (10th ed.). Pearson. [6] Hull, J. C., & White, A. (2017). A Framework for Assessing Hedge Effectiveness. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 84(4), 1263-1290. [7] Litterman, R., & Scheinkman, J. A. (2016). Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. [8] Marshall, J., & McManus, J. (2017). Strategic Risk Management Practice: How to Deal Effectively with Major Corporate Exposures. Wiley. [9] Mayers, D., & Smith, C. W. (2019). Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility. Review of Financial Studies, 32(2), 666-720. [10] McDonald, R., & Paulson, A. (2013). Derivatives Markets and the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27(1), 173-192. [11] Mello, A. S., & Parsons, J. E. (2014). Measuring and Managing Credit Risk. McGraw-Hill Education. [12] Stulz, R. (2018). Risk Management and Derivatives (3rd ed.). Cengage Learning.
Copyright © 2024 Dr Shyamsunder S Singh, Priyal Dave, Priya Singh, Ashutosh Tiwari, Rohit Bhimra. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Paper Id : IJRASET59890
Publish Date : 2024-04-06
ISSN : 2321-9653
Publisher Name : IJRASET
DOI Link : Click Here